Showing 1 - 10 of 16,221
Cross-country regressions suggest that urbanization and FDI are important drivers of growth. However, it is not clear … that primacy eventually hurts growth performance. Since it is tough to interpret cross-country growth regressions, we … provide detailed evidence on the determinants of outward FDI from the US. FDI is higher in countries that are close to the US …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276225
capita output growth, the credit cycle, the stock of inward foreign direct investment (FDI) and the current account balance … find that lower exchange rate volatility is associated with higher growth (for relatively less financially developed … economies), higher stocks of FDI (for relatively more open economies), higher current account deficits, and a more volatile …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604975
Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models have recently become standard tools for policy-oriented analyses. Nevertheless, their forecasting properties are still barely explored. We fill this gap by comparing the quality of real-time forecasts from a richly-specified DSGE model to those from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605156
empirical practice of omitting dividend growth from the system amounts to imposing the extra restriction that dividend growth is … not persistent. We highlight that persistence in dividend growth induces a previously overlooked channel for return … predictability, which we label "dividend momentum." Compared to estimation based on ordinary least squares, our restricted …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012819002
Models based on economic theory have serious problems at forecasting exchange rates better than simple univariate driftless random walk models, especially at short horizons. Multivariate time series models suffer from the same problem. In this paper, we propose to forecast exchange rates with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280768
of societal risk transfer mechanisms mitigating the effects disasters. Dynamic panel estimates using growth data from a … European region reduces the regional GDP by 0.4%-0.6%; an average flood event in the U.S.A reduces the personal income by 0 … Program (NFIP) in the U.S.A. mitigate the effects of a flood by about 50%. The results provide empirical foundation for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293431
We investigate the controversial issue whether unemployment is related to productivity growth in the long run, using U …. Therefore the secular decline of unemployment since the mid 1990s indeed stemmed from higher average productivity growth. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265226
The rapidly growing literature on the relationship between energy consumption and economic growth has not univocally …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286742
We investigate the impact of Chinese activities in sub-Saharan African countries with respect to the growth performance … of economies in that region. Using a Solow-type growth model and panel data for the period 1991 to 2011, we find that … does not have an impact on growth. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011918494
whether money growth Granger-causes output growth in the United States. We find surprisingly strong evidence for a money …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299137