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and food price shocks on a given set of countries. Secondly, we assess the importance of inflation linkages among … exist among regions. In addition, a considerable part of the observed headline inflation rises is attributable to foreign …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605108
In this paper we examine linkages across non-energy commodity price developments by means of a factor-augmented VAR model (FAVAR). From a set of non-energy commodity price series, we extract two factors, which we identify as common trends in metals and a food prices. These factors are included...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605216
This paper examines the interactions between money, consumer prices and commodity prices at a global level from 1970 to 2008. Using aggregated data for major OECD countries and a cointegrating VAR framework, we are able to establish long run and short run relationships among these variables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265799
This paper examines the interactions between money, consumer prices and commodity prices at a global level from 1970 to 2008. Using aggregated data for major OECD countries and a cointegrating VAR framework, we are able to establish long run and short run relationships among these variables...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271111
useful information about variables such as commodity prices which matter for aggregate demand and thus inflation. Given this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010269974
useful information about variables such as commodity prices which matter for aggregate demand and thus inflation. Given this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271369
contribution of fluctuations in inflation to this particular link. In the data, a temporary rise in inflation causes real commodity … prices to rise, as does a rise in trend inflation. We find that a simple dynamic equilibrium model of commodity supply and … demand gives a realistic response of real commodity prices to inflation. Based on historical simulations, shocks to inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274442
The paper explains the observed asymmetric inflation response to value-added tax (VAT) changes in Hungary by … inflation and forward-looking firms, thereby it provides direct evidence to the argument of Ball and Mankiw (1994). …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010494360
SVAR models that include a single world price (such as the terms-of-trade) predict that world shocks explain a small fraction of movements in domestic output (typically less than 10 percent). This paper presents an empirical framework in which multiple commodity prices transmit world...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011786396
particular, we find that commodity price shocks explain a large share of cyclical movements in inflation. Neutral technology …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011390656