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If oil exporters stabilize the purchasing power of their export revenues in terms of imports, exchange rate developments (and particularly, developments in the US dollar/euro exchange rate) may contain information about oil price changes. This hypothesis depends on three conditions: (a) OPEC has...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293389
mean and volatility. The endogenous structural breakpoint unit root test, ARDL model, and alternative volatility models … price while the volatility of global fertilizer prices and crude oil price from March to December 2008 are higher than in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326493
The paper presents an empirical study of volatility spillover from oil prices to stock markets within an asymmetric … evidence of volatility spillover is found for all stock markets but the Swedish one, where only weak evidence is found. News … impact surfaces show that, although statistically significant, the volatility spillovers are quantitatively small. The stock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321644
This paper models volatility spillovers from mature to emerging stock markets, tests for changes in the transmission … estimated for 41 emerging market economies (EMEs). Wald tests suggest that mature market volatility affects conditional … variances in local markets rise as well, volatility in mature markets rises more, and this shift is the main factor behind the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605159
formulate and examine precise and separate measures of return spillovers and volatility spillovers. Our framework facilitates … evidence of divergent behavior in the dynamics of return spillovers vs. volatility spillovers: Return spillovers display a … gently increasing trend but no bursts, whereas volatility spillovers display no trend but clear bursts. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298351
the commodity futures price. The significance and form of volatility spill-over effects of a bilateral exchange rate are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291928
This paper studies the dynamics of volatility transmission between Central European currencies and euro/dollar foreign … exchange using model-free estimates of daily exchange rate volatility based on intraday data. We formulate a flexible yet … parsimonious parametric model in which the daily realized volatility of a given exchange rate depends both on its own lags as well …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270529
The Chinese stock market features an interesting history of divided market segments: domestic (A), foreigners' (B) and overseas (H). This puts forth questions of market integration as well as cross-divisional information transmission. We address these issues in a structural DCC framework, an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263757
This study investigates volatility spillovers between two stock markets, Turkish and Brazilian, located in different … volatility spillovers from Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE) to São Paulo Stock Exchange (BOVESPA). The results imply that financial … crises may change the size and the direction of volatility spillovers between markets. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010320499
In this paper we examine the issue of asymmetry in the return and volatility spillover effects from the US equity … market into the Canadian and Mexican equity markets. We model the conditional volatility of the returns in each of the three … considerably from those for Mexico. In particular, the empirical results indicate that volatility spillover effects, but not return …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295295