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This paper analyzes the factors underlying the weakness of the euro. For this purpose, the framework advocated by Clarida and Gali (1994) is used. Within this model, three structural shocks drive the dynamics of the endogenous variables: aggregate supply shocks, aggregate spending shocks, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260459
cointegrated technology shocks to the standard IRBC model helps explaining the observed high real exchange rate volatility. Also …, we show that the observed increase of the real exchange rate volatility with respect to output in the past twenty years …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292354
The main purpose of this paper is to supplement the existing literature by quantifying the elasticity of New Zealand's current account to changes in the real exchange rate. The unusual composition of New Zealand's current account balance – particularly the large income deficit and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012115679
States of the European Union, to test if the same short-run increase in cyclical volatility arising from financial … mature market economies, reduces cyclical volatility both in the short and in the long run. Weak indications are found that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295650
Many argue that the yuan needs to appreciate to rebalance the People's Republic of China's trade. However, empirical evidence on the effects of a CNY appreciation on the People's Republic of China's exports has been mixed for the largest category of exports, processed exports. Since much of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286140
rates at a given future date triggers a reduction in exchange rate volatility during the interim period. Using a Markov …-switching GARCH model this paper estimates the volatility processes of four EMU exchange rate returns vis-?-vis the German mark using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295594
A number of empirical studies have reported the result that exchange rates show a delayed overshooting in response to monetary policy shocks. This result is puzzling. Economic theory suggests that the overshooting should occur immediately after the shock, not with a delay. This paper uses a ?new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260546
Capital controls lower the variability of the exchange rate and reduce the risk premium as well as the domestic interest rate. On the other hand, capital controls reduce the number of noise traders and, therefore, the risk-bearing capacity of the market, leading to higher interest rates and a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010301757
We analyze the sources of current account fluctuations for the G6 economies. Based on Bergin and Sheffrin's (2000) two-goods inter-temporal framework, we build a SVAR model including the world real interest rate, net output, real exchange rate, and the current account. The theory model allows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277812
Using a sample of 110 developed and developing countries for the period 1990-2004, this paper analyzes the characteristics of systemic sudden stops (3S) in capital flows and the relevance of balance-sheet effects in the likelihood of their materialization. A small supply of tradable goods...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010278271