We construct a dynamic theory of civil conflict hinging on inter-ethnic trust and trade. The model economy is … beliefs on the average propensity to trade of the other group. Since confict disrupts trade, the onset of a conflict signals … time, transmitting them to the next generation. The theory bears a set of testable predictions. First, war is a stochastic …

fragmentation and conflict on international trafficking through internal and international displacements. …

This paper uses detailed information on the latitude and longitude of conflict events within a set of Sub …-level, we cannot detect any significant effect of these shock on conflict incidence or onset; but (iv) large and longlasting … shocks seem to affect the location of conflict outbreaks. In general, our results suggest that external income shocks are …

We examine how globalization affects trade patterns and welfare when conflict prevails domestically. We do so in a …?). Thus, conflict is viewed as ultimately stemming from imperfect property-rights enforcement. When comparing autarky with … conflict. We find that importers of the contested resource gain unambiguously. By contrast, countries exporting the contested …

We study the role of inter-group differences in the emergence of conflict. In our setting, two groups compete for the …, that the opposition can either accept, or reject and wage conflict. Expropriating a large share of resources increases … of conflict. In equilibrium, allocations are non-monotonic in the cost of mobility. Moreover, limited commitment with …

Position im Konflikt sich verschlechtert, sollte eigentlich auf eine schnelle Konfliktlösung drängen. Carl von Clausewitz …

-based predictions with data on secessionist movements, state fragility, regional autonomy, and conflict, as well as with an application …

-based predictions with data on secessionist movements, state fragility, regional autonomy, and conflict, as well as with an application …