Showing 1 - 10 of 3,516
This paper focuses on survey expectations and discusses their uses for testing and modeling of expectations. Alternative models of expectations formation are reviewed and the importance of allowing for heterogeneity of expectations is emphasized. A weak form of the rational expectations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276172
The present research investigates individual decision making regarding jobs scheduling, by means of a laboratory experiment based on the "Admission Test" of the University of Bologna, in which students have to allocate effort among several tasks in a limited timespan. The experiment includes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011651971
We model economic policy uncertainty (EPU) in the four largest euro area countries by applying machine learning techniques to news articles. The unsupervised machine learning algorithm used makes it possible to retrieve the individual components of overall EPU endogenously for a wide range of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012389562
We present evidence that referenda have a significant, detrimental outcome on investment. Employing an unsupervised machine learning algorithm over the period 2008-2017, we construct three important uncertainty indices underlying reports in the Scottish news media: Scottish independence...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012422065
We look at the link between the volatility in the Bitcoin market and the volatility in other related traditional markets, i.e. the gold, currency and stock market. We also try to answer if the volatility in the Bitcoin market can be explained by retail investor-driven internet search volumes or,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013208824
The digital revolution has led to a quantification of ever more areas of human life and society. At the same time, there is an explosion of the number of awards, which by their very nature are based on non-quantified performance. Will quantification take over completely, leading to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011744888
There is a fundamental difference between the natural and the social sciences due to reactivity. This difference remains even in the age of Artificially Intelligent Learning Machines and Big Data. Many academic economists take it as a matter of course that economics should become a natural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011744899
Contrary to claims by Gul and Pesendorfer (2008), I show that standard economics makes use of non-choice evidence in a meaningful way. This is because standard economics solely grounded in the theory of choice is incomplete. That is, it has content that can not be revealed with any general...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010282111
The digital revolution has led to a quantification of ever more areas of human life and society. At the same time, there is an explosion of the number of awards , which by their very nature are based on non- quantified performance. Will quantification take over completely, leading to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012168486
There is a fundamental difference between the natural and the social sciences due to reactivity. This difference remains even in the age of Artificially Intelligent Learning Machines and Big Data. Many academic economists take it as a matter of course that economics should become a natural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012168487