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ability of a bank to restructure the borrower's firm in the case of distress, the possibility to appropriate private benefits …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316267
This article presents the results of stress tests of the Czech banking sector conducted using models of credit risk and credit growth broken down by sector. The use of these models enables the stress tests to be linked to the CNB's official quarterly macroeconomic forecast. In addition, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322230
This paper employs the methodology of Wilson (1997) on Hungarian data to conduct a macro stress test in relation to banks' corporate loan portfolio. First, sector specific models of bankruptcy are estimated, where the bankruptcy frequency is linked to the general health of the economy. Data on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322432
Why do banks remain passive? In a model of bank-firm relationship we study the trade-off a bank faces when having … defaulting firms declared bankrupt. First, the bank receives a payoff if a firm is liquidated. Second, it provides information … about a firm’s type to its competitors. Thereby, asymmetric information between banks is reduced and bank competition …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010427508
We analyze the stability of efficiency rankings of German universal banks between 1993 and 2004. First, we estimate … traditional efficiency scores with stochastic cost and alternative profit frontier analysis. Then, we explicitly allow for … different risk preferences and measure efficiency with a structural model based on utility maximization. Using the almost ideal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295915
Efficiency is considered a key factor when evaluating a bank's performance. Moreover, efficiency enhancement is an … explicit policy objective in the Single Market Directive of the European Commission. But efficiency improvements may come at … the expense of deteriorating bank profits and excessive risk-taking. Both the quantitative effects and dynamic reactions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295921
We use a vector error correction model to study the long-term relationship between aggregate expected default frequency and the macroeconomic development, i.e. CPI, industry production and short-term interest rate. The model is used to forecast the median expected default frequency of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010320730
the financial crisis 2008-09 was significantly higher for firms with a weak bank than for comparable firms with a sound … bank. Second, non-defaulting firms with a weak bank did not have a lower return on assets during the financial crisis 2008 …-09 than comparable firms with a sound bank. Taken together, these results may indicate the presence of heterogeneous effects …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321165
In this paper we stress-test credit portfolios of 28 German banks based on a Mertontype multi-factor credit risk model. The ad-hoc stress scenario is an economic downturn in the automobile industry that constitutes an exceptional but plausible event suggested by historical data. Rather than on a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298778
We quantify the importance of trade credit chains for the propagation of corporate bankruptcies. Our results show that trade creditors (suppliers) that issue more trade credit are more exposed to trade debtor (customer) failures, both in terms of the likelihood of experiencing a debtor failure...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010320754