Showing 1 - 10 of 19,271
We develop a simple model of a speculative housing market in which the demand for houses is influenced by expectations about future housing prices. Guided by empirical evidence, agents rely on extrapolative and regressive forecasting rules to form their expectations. The relative importance of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010300808
study trading quantitatives such as returns, traded volumes, volatility periodicity, and provide summary statistics of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012433234
:01-2020:08 were employed. The study found evidence of volatility persistence, asymmetry, mean reversion and weak evidence of a risk …-border investments as investors search for higher risk-adjusted returns. This ability to invest internationally has raised the attention … given to emerging markets that offer higher risk-adjusted returns relative to developed markets. However, despite the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013201388
the level of policy rates at the time of the news release, and risk conditions: Government bond yields increase in … response to good news, but less so when risk is elevated. Risk conditions matter since they can capture the effects of … objectives of central banks, and the effect of news announcements on the risk premium. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010333621
This paper examines return predictability when the investor is uncertain about the right state variables. A novel feature of the model averaging approach used in this paper is to account for finite-sample bias of the coefficients in the predictive regressions. Drawing on an extensive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298059
Extending the controversial findings from relevant literature on testing the efficient market hypothesis for the U.S. housing market, the results from the monthly and quarterly transaction-based Case-Shiller indices from 1987 to 2009 provide further empirical evidence on the rejection of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299929
This paper tests the random walk hypothesis and market efficiency for twelve emerging as well as for four developed securitized real estate markets from 1992 to 2009. Random walk properties of equity prices influence return dynamics, and market efficiency is often considered an essential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010300506
Extending the controversial findings from the relevant literature, the results from the quarterly transaction-based Nationwide indices from 1974 to 2009 provide further empirical evidence on the rejection of the weak-form version of efficiency in the U.K. housing market. In addition to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010300511
This paper is an empirical investigation into the role of credit history in determining the spread on sovereign bank loans. It employs an error-in-variables approach used in rational-expectations-macro-econometrics to set up a structural model that links sovereign loan spreads to realized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322423
On September 3-4, 2009 SUERF and Utrecht University School of Economicsorganized the Colloquium "The Quest for Stability" in Utrecht, the Netherlands. The papers included in this SUERF Study are based on contributions to the Colloquium.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011689944