A growing literature has sought to quantify the impacts of natural disasters on economic growth, but has found seemingly contradictory results, ranging from positive to very large negative effects. This paper brings a novel macroeconomic model-based perspective to the data. We present a...

We provide the first revealed preference estimates of the benefits of routine weather forecasts. The benefits come from how people use advance information to reduce mortality from heat and cold. Theoretically, more accurate forecasts reduce mortality if and only if mortality risk is convex in...

This paper explores the fiscal impacts of climate change and their policy implications for the United States. I develop and empirically quantify a climate-macroeconomic model where climate change can affect (i) government consumption requirements (e.g., healthcare), (ii) transfer payments (e.g.,...

How are financial markets responding to anticipated climate-driven wildfire risk increases? Combining high-resolution meteorological predictions and land use pattern maps with detailed US municipal bond data, this paper finds that municipalities facing higher future wildfire risk increases are...

This article reviews a rapidly growing literature on how climatic risks and events affect public finances around the world. This literature includes empirical evaluations of how past climatic events have affected fiscal outcomes, empirical and model-based assessments of how climatic risks affect...

We analyze a model of green technological transition along a supply chain. In each layer, a good is produced with a dirty technology, or, if the required "electriffcation" innovation has occurred, with a clean technology which uses the immediate upstream good. We show that the economy is...

How do financial markets respond to anticipated climate-driven wildfire risk? Using high-resolution meteorological forecasts, land use data, and U.S. municipal bond spreads, we find that municipalities facing greater future wildfire exposure already incur higher borrowing costs: A one standard...