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We apply the Campbell-Shiller return decomposition to exchange rate returns and fundamentals in a stationary panel vector autoregression framework. The return decomposition is then used to analyse how different investor segments react to news as captured by the different return components. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604752
Using variance risk premiums (VRPs) nonparametrically calculated from equity markets in selected major developed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011653792
This paper surveys the nature of capital inflows into Asia since the peak of the US dollar in the first quarter of 2002 and the policy responses to them. Portfolio equity flows have become more volatile and more responsive to global equity market developments. Inflows into local bond markets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010279658
The Republic of Korea has recently experienced: (i) large capital inflows, in particular a surge in portfolio inflows, and (ii) an appreciation of asset prices, including stock prices, land prices, and nominal and real exchange rates. We first document the recent trend in capital inflows and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010279736
This paper studies the impact of international capital flows on asset prices through risk premia. We investigate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010279929
Economists often describe nominal exchange rates as forward-looking, so that they reflect discounted, expected, future fundamentals. This study applies a method for identifying the discount rate involved, without knowing or measuring fundamentals. Identification arises from assumptions on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010290351
novel measure of eurozone exit risk. We find that while domestic bank stocks are not significantly affected by domestic exit … risk, there is a negative exposure to exit risk of other countries that is channeled through bilateral credit risk. For the … real sector, exposure to eurozone exit risk is heterogeneous among industries and is less negative for more indebted …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011664433
After the 2008 financial crisis, macroeconomic positions and growth prospects weakened in the advanced economies; emerging market economies (EMEs) improved however. Offshore, local-currency bonds of EMEs became popular as result, with many EMEs exploiting the opportunity. India also launched its...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011807883
crisis, confirming the existence of contagion and the intensification of systemic risk. The introduction of capital flow …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011852996
Economists and financial analysts have begun to recognise the importance of the actions of other agents in the decision-making process. Herding is the deliberate mimicking of the decisions of other agents. Examples of mimicry range from the choice of restaurant, fashion and financial market...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326188