Crespo Cuaresma, Jesús; Geršl, Adam; Slačík, Tomáš - 2010
financial crisis. To this end, we derive risk-neutral densities from the implied volatilities of FX options, which approximate … market expectations about exchange rate developments. Based on these risk-neutral density estimates, we then assess the out … also find that, for the Czech Republic and Poland, risk-neutral densities contain useful information on the direction of …