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The paper presents a comprehensive data set of all bonds issued by the sixteen German states (L¨ander) since 1992. It thus provides a complete picture of a capital market comparable in size to funds raised in the German fixed income market for corporations. The quantitative analysis reveals...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295878
We explore the term structures of claims to a variety of cash flows: U.S. government bonds (claims to dollars), foreign government bonds (claims to foreign currency), inflation-adjusted bonds (claims to the price index), and equity (claims to future equity indexes or dividends). Average term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011538004
observable maturities. For the resulting limiting term structure we show two results by postulating no arbitrage in a bond market … with infinitely increasing maturities: long zero-bond yields and long forward rates (i) are monotonically increasing and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264921
explain the average shape of the nominal yield curve, the variation of yields over time, and the predictability of excess bond …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397776
This paper attempts to find an aggregate leading indicator to predict the spreads observed for high-yield (HY) bond …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319718
How should one evaluate investment projects whose CCAPM betas are uncertain? This question is particularly crucial for projects yielding long-lasting impacts on the economy, as is the case for example for many green investments. We define the notion of a certainty equivalent beta. We show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291514
Because of the uncertainty about how to model the growth process of our economy, there is still much confusion about which discount rates should be used to evaluate actions having long-lasting impacts, as in the contexts of climate change, social security reforms or large public infrastructures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291529
This paper extends the benchmark Macro-Finance model by introducing, next to the standard macroeconomic factors, additional liquidity-related and return forecasting factors. Liquidity factors are obtained from a decomposition of the TED spread while the return-forecasting (risk premium) factor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266074
captures the arbitrage-free dynamics of stock returns and nominal bond yields. The model nests the class of affine term … structure (of interest rates) models. Stock returns and bond yields as well as risk premia are affine functions of the state …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605091
This paper studies how inflation as a macroeconomic indicator affects nominal bond prices. I consider an economy with a … that inêationary unexpected shocks indicate lower consumption growth, nominal bond holders need to be compensated for these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322544