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Important gaps remain in the understanding of the economic consequences of civil war. Focusing on the conflict in Rwanda in the early 90s, and using micro data to carry out econometric analysis, this paper finds that households and localities that experienced more intense conflict are lagging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010287624
This paper investigates the empirical role of violent conflicts for the causal effect of democracy on economic growth. Exploiting within-country variation to identify the effect of democratization during the Third Wave, we find evidence that the effect of democratization is weaker than reported...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010278790
In this paper we examine the claim that natural resources invite civil conflict, and challenge the main stylized facts in this literature. We find that the nature of causation between resource dependence and civil war is opposite to conventional wisdom. In particular, (i) civil war creates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011753142
We construct a dynamic theory of civil conflict hinging on inter-ethnic trust and trade. The model economy is inhabitated by two ethnic groups. Inter-ethnic trade requires imperfectly observed bilateral investments and one group has to form beliefs on the average propensity to trade of the other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316887
A notable feature of post-World War II civil wars is their very long average duration. We provide a theory of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271578
This paper develops a simple model that analyses the relationship between a country's oil endowment and the duration of … coup d'état and establish a new dictator. The relationship between oil endowment and the duration of the dictatorial regime … is modulated by the price of oil. Applying an empirical survival model on data for the duration of 106 dictatorships …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293400
The aim of this paper is to explore the patterns of trade duration across regions and to identify its determinants … variables on the duration of trade relationships from 96 countries from 1995 to 2004. Our results suggest first that the … duration of trade relationships increases with the region level of development: trade relationships from richer economies face …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316725
end in sight. In this short paper we assess empirically what determines the duration of trade negotiations, focusing on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319735
We analyze the aid portfolio of various bilateral and multilateral donors, testing whether they have prioritised aid in line with the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). In doing so, we combine sectorally disaggregated aid data with indicators reflecting the situation of recipient countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010272941
1960s. Recent World Bank staff research proposes a more radical departure, introducing the concept of EDA, ‘Effective …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010279320