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This paper explores the impact of New Zealand's exchange rate variability on the tradable sector, and policy options for dampening exchange rate variability. It finds that exchange rate variability in the medium term is likely to have a negative impact on the tradable sector. However, the link...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012115626
comparing the short-term (i.e. month-to-month) volatility of New Zealand's exchange rate to other economies, on a trade …-term volatility out of the economies included in the analysis. Factors that affect the expected relative return on New Zealand dollar …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012115625
increases exchange rate volatility (and spread) for the next minutes but that intervention days show a lower degree of … volatility (and spread) than non-intervention days. We also show for intraday data that the price impact of interbank order flow … position taking, the targeted exchange rate range holds and volatility, spread and price impact go down. Overall, the credible …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264306
Recent theory on exchange rate dynamics suggests that the mere announcement of regime switching from floating to fixed … rates at a given future date triggers a reduction in exchange rate volatility during the interim period. Using a Markov …-switching GARCH model this paper estimates the volatility processes of four EMU exchange rate returns vis-?-vis the German mark using …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295594
Market analysts and central banks often use the implied volatility of FX options as an indicator of expected exchange … deviate the value of implied volatility from the exchange rate variability expected by the market. These biasing factors are … one month. However, implied volatility provides a biased estimate, and does not encompass the information included in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322417
rate adjustments. The formulation is theory-based, relying on balance of payments equilibrium conditions and international …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011942779
exchange rate so as to facilitate terms of trade adjustment. We show that optimal nominal exchange rate volatility will reflect …. Quantitatively, we find the optimal exchange rate volatility should be significantly less than would be inferred based solely on … volatility may be non-monotonic. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604660
period to alter either the level or the volatility of the $/DM spot rate is examined. Volatility quotes implicit in foreign …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260625
In this paper we investigate the effects of central bank interventions (CBI) in a noise trading model with chartists and fundamentalists. We first estimate a model in which chartists extrapolate past returns and fundamentalists forecast a mean reverting dynamics of the exchange rate towards a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261316
evolves over time and that it is different under different market conditions defined by exchange rate volatility. Further, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322440