Showing 1 - 10 of 13,211
In this paper I extend the well known result that a hyperbolically discounting agent postpones costs into the future. If society has hyperbolic inter-temporal preferences, it may be optimal from an ex ante point of view to postpone structural change from a polluting to a non polluting production...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422111
provide an interesting alternative to additive preferences, allowing to separate risk aversion from intertemporal elasticty of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011753219
role of uncertainty and risk aversion are examined using several highly simplified models involving a possible future …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012115643
Individual terrorist are frequently behaving seemingly absurd, e.g. by carrying out suicide operations, while activities of the terrorist organisations as a whole often seem to be conducted in a very effective way. These facts caused many researchers to regard the leaders representing the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011753167
psychological concepts of cognitive dissonance and terror management theory into our economic analysis, we demonstrate why … – although predicted by standard economic theory – defection is a phenomenon rarely observed. We finally present some policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011753170
We develop a general equilibrium model of wealth transfers in the presence of uncertain lifetimes and default. Without introducing exogenous debt constraints, agents are allowed to make collateral-backed promises at any state of their life span.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011807351
of apprehension and the penalty if caught. While evidence indicates that rational theory is applicable to acquisitive … elicited risk attitudes and time preferences from respondents in a street survey. Admitted violent behaviour was predictable on … the basis of some of these responses. Consistent with the rational model, less risk averse and more impatient individuals …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010288750
The ex-ante evaluation of policies using structural econometric models is based on estimated parameters as a stand-in for the truth. This practice ignores uncertainty in the counterfactual policy predictions of the model. We develop a generic approach that deals with parametric uncertainty using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012603363
On the basis of a concatenation of fifteen Belgian household budget surveys from 1995/96 to 2010, we investigate the impact of demographic factors, such as ageing and changing household composition, on saving behaviour. Not focusing on high frequency events (e.g. business cycles and unexpected...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506806
This paper discusses methods to quantify risk and uncertainty in macroeconomic forecasts. Both, parametric and non … macroeconometric model of the Bundesbank for Germany. Forecast intervals that integrate judgement on risk and uncertainty are obtained. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295862