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Most multivariate variance or volatility models suffer from a common problem, the “curse of dimensionality”. For this … stochastic volatility models. The empirical analysis on stock returns on the US market shows that 1% and 5 % Value …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326487
This paper investigates the forecasting performance of three popular variants of the non-linear GARCH models, namely VS-GARCH, GJR-GARCH and Q-GARCH, with the symmetric GARCH(1,1) model as a benchmark. The application involves ten European stock price indexes. Forecasts produced by each...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011335762
describe the most typical features of capital markets like volatility clustering, excess kurtosis and fat tails. As empirical … evidence shows asymmetry is also a prominent feature of stock market returns volatility. The reaction of risk if stock returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270556
Volatility has been one of the most active and successful areas of research in time series econometrics and economic … empirical insights to emerge from this burgeoning literature, with a distinct focus on forecasting applications. Volatility is … inherently latent, and Section 1 begins with a brief intuitive account of various key volatility concepts. Section 2 then …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298299
We propose a new model for dynamic volatilities and correlations of skewed and heavy-tailed data. Our model endows the Generalized Hyperbolic distribution with time-varying parameters driven by the score of the observation density function. The key novelty in our approach is the fact that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326055
In this survey article, we present a rich extent of literature on volatility and its propagation on financial markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011641100
examines the consistency, persistency, and severity (degree) of volatility in exchange rate of Nigerian currency (naira) vis … were used to examine the degree or severity of volatility based on the first difference, standard deviation and coefficient … of deviation estimated volatility series for the nominal and real exchange rate of naira vis-a-vis the U.S dollar. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011482561
rate volatility of the currencies in the West African Monetary Zone (WAMZ) for the period 1960M01-2011M12. The study … selects a sub-sample period of 2000M1 to 2011M12 to investigate whether central bank intervention decreases volatility of the … other countries. The impact of central bank intervention on exchange rate volatility is also found to be inconclusive for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011482622
We apply the GARCH-MIDAS framework to forecast the daily, weekly, and monthly volatility of five highly capitalized … quality, we determine the most important exogenous drivers of volatility in Cryptocurrency markets. We find that the Global … Global Real Economic Activity provides superior volatility predictions for both, bull and bear markets. In addition, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014284448
A discrete time model of financial markets is considered. It is assumed that the relative jumps of the risky security price are independent non-identically distributed random variables. In the focus of attention is the expected non-risky profit of the investor that arises when the jumps of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010293743