In Syria, the immediate effects of the war in Ukraine have made an already difficult humanitarian situation even worse. Protracted violence in Ukraine or an expansion of the Ukraine war into a larger NATO-Russia confrontation would endanger multilateral cooperation on conflict management,...

Turkey-NATO relations are still sufficiently strong to keep the relationship from the brink, a new DIIS-report finds. But more dynamics are also gaining strength to render further troubles increasingly likely. The future of Turkey's NATO membership has been the subject of heated debate of late,...

Die amerikanisch-russische Rüstungskontrollarchitektur durchlebt eine schwere Krise. Allerdings hat die Erosion rüstungskontrollpolitischer Instrumente schon vor dem Ende des INF-Vertrags am 2. August 2019 eingesetzt. New START, das letzte russisch-amerikanische Vertragswerk zur Reduzierung...

Trotz der Eiszeit in den Beziehungen zwischen Moskau und dem Westen spielt Russland eine konstruktive Rolle in den Atomverhandlungen der E3+3 (Deutschland, Frankreich, Großbritannien + China, Russland, USA) mit Iran. Russland unterstützt die am 2. April 2015 in Lausanne erreichte...

Mit dem 'Astana-Format' haben Russland, Iran und die Türkei nicht nur eine Plattform für Verhandlungen über Syriens Zukunft geschaffen. Das Gesprächsforum hat auch dazu gedient, Streitthemen unter den drei 'Garantiemächten' zu kanalisieren. Mit einem zukünftigen Ende der Kampfhandlungen in...

Syria is central to the current shape of Turkey-Russia relations. It offers a model of partnership for both countries in a context where their interests are competitive. However, the Syrian-centric cooperation between Turkey and Russia is also special and is thus unlikely to be replicated...

Istanbul's fiercely fought municipal election is over. The opposition candidate, Ekrem İmamoğlu, won a landslide victory over his rival. The governing Justice and Develop­ment Party (AK Party) has arguably suffered its most severe defeat since coming to power in 2002. The repercussions and...

Turkey and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) are taking steps to mend their ties. The UAE, it seems, is eager to refashion its image as a bridge-builder in regional politics and hedge its options in the face of the US downsizing its regional security commitments in the Middle East. Turkey, on its...

The Ukraine crisis poses two particularly uneasy questions for Turkey: How to uphold a power balance in the Black Sea? And how to manage its relations between Russia, Ukraine and the West? So far, Ankara's policy towards Moscow consists of both deterrence and dialogue. In regards deterrence,...

The war in Ukraine is set to increase the pressure on Turkey's balancing policy, shed light on the role of anti-Westernism in Ankara-Moscow relations, and reshape Turkey's relations with Russia and the West. The balancing policy will face a less permissive environment. However, a rupture in...