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A common narrative is that COVID-19 cost Trump re-election. We do not find supporting evidence; if anything, the … effect, our estimates imply Trump would been on the precipice of re-election by winning Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, and only …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012493002
1930s and was still raging when he left office. We analyze how the trade war impacted the 2020 US Presidential election …-back of such expansion. Absent this anti-Trump effect, Trump would have been on the precipice of re-election by winning …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013266634
according to the 1995 election law. We show that in the second and third weeks after the 2020 elections (held on October 9 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012587863
The impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on international trade varies along several dimensions, including the type of product, the size of firm and over time. In this note, I provide evidence of systematic variation in the trade response to the pandemic along another, previously unexplored...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013258441
We examine the political economy underpinnings of import protection in general equilibrium. Starting from a dual theoretical representation of production, trade, and consumption, we map a general representation of the real economy to underlying political processes aka the political support...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294853
Are retaliatiory tariffs politically targeted and, if so, are they effective? Do countries designing a retaliation response face a trade-off between maximizing political targeting and mitigating domestic economic harm? We use the recent trade escalation between the US, China, the European Union...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012018244
Antidumping (AD) is the most widely used contingent protection measure. In the United States, key decisions on AD are delegated to the International Trade Commission (ITC), an independent agency composed of six non-elected commissioners. Using a newly collected dataset, I study the determinants...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012058891
The agricultural and food sector is an ideal case for investigating the political economy of public policies. Many of the policy developments in this sector since the 1950s have been sudden and transfirmational, while others have been gradual but persistent. This article reviews and synthesizes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010313271
We show that the Brazilian trade liberalization in the early 1990s led to a permanent relative decline in the vote share of left-wing presidential candidates in the regions more affected by the tariff cuts. This happened even though the shock, implemented by a right-wing party, induced a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012882425
We show that the Brazilian trade liberalization in the early 1990s led to a permanent relative decline in the vote share of left-wing presidential candidates in the regions more affected by the tariff cuts. This happened even though the shock, implemented by a right-wing party, induced a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012799718