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processes with up to two lags and variance with one of GARCH, EGARCH or TARCH processes with up to two lags. The models are … separately. The primary result of the paper is that the volatility is best modelled using a GARCH process and that an ARMA … more volatile. The main aim of the paper is to test whether a model estimated on data with lower volatility can be used in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322244
We extend the fractionally integrated exponential GARCH (FIEGARCH) model for daily stock return data with long memory … in return volatility of Bollerslev and Mikkelsen (1996) by introducing a possible volatility-in-mean effect. To avoid … that the long memory property of volatility carries over to returns, we consider a filtered FIEGARCH-in-mean (FIEGARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010290338
This paper contains a survey of univariate models of conditional heteroskedasticity. The classical ARCH model is … mentioned, and various extensions of the standard GARCH model are highlighted. This includes the Exponential GARCH model …. Stochastic volatility models remain outside this review. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281357
We use an information-theoretic approach to interpret Engle's (1982) and Bollerslev's (1986) GARCH model as a model for … may be generalized, if we use alternative measures of volatility. We choose one feasible alternative and derive a … generalized volatility model. Applying this model to some exemplary market indices, we are able to give some empirical evidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010299748
This paper investigates the forecasting performance of three popular variants of the non-linear GARCH models, namely VS-GARCH …, GJR-GARCH and Q-GARCH, with the symmetric GARCH(1,1) model as a benchmark. The application involves ten European stock … price indexes. Forecasts produced by each non-linear GARCH model and each index are evaluated using a common set of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011335762
ARCH modelling framework of Engle (1982) and its GARCH generalization of Bollerslev (1986) gave a huge impetus to … describe the most typical features of capital markets like volatility clustering, excess kurtosis and fat tails. As empirical … evidence shows asymmetry is also a prominent feature of stock market returns volatility. The reaction of risk if stock returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270556
A small strand of recent literature is occupied with identifying simultaneity in multiple equation systems through autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity. Since this approach assumes that the structural innovations are uncorrelated, any contemporaneous connection of the endogenous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263718
In the literature of identifcation through autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity, Weber (2008) developed the structural constant conditional correlation (SCCC) model. Besides determining linear simultaneous in uences between several variables, this model considers interaction in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263754
generalised autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model and extend the analysis using the exponential GARCH … than the GARCH model in estimating the volatility of the Australian stock returns. However, another interesting finding is … that the EGARCH model with volatility equation without news demonstrates a larger (smaller) leverage effect of the negative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013200998
-19 pandemic. We applied the GARCH (1, 1), GJR-GARCH (1, 1), and EGARCH (1, 1) econometric models on the daily time series … the market volatility and asymmetric behavior of Bitcoin, EUR, S&P 500 index, Gold, Crude Oil, and Sugar during the COVID … returns data ranging from 27 November 2018 to 15 June 2021. The empirical findings show a high level of volatility persistence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014332825