Showing 1 - 10 of 4,650
Turkey's inflation and the likely costs and benefits of disinflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010513258
disinflation under inflation targeting policies. The analysis is motivated by the disinflation performance of many inflation …-targeting countries, in particular the gradual Chilean disinflation with temporary annual targets. At the start of the disinflation … adaptive learning lowers the cost of disinflation. This reduction can be exploited by a gradual approach to disinflation. Firms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298400
Most emerging market central banks have adopted inflation targeting as their monetary policy system. The heart of inflation targeting system is inflation expectations. The success of a central bank in achieving targets depends on to the extent to which inflation expectations are formed by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014558525
This paper investigates the role that imperfect knowledge about the structure of the economy plays in the formation of expectations, macroeconomic dynamics, and the efficient formulation of monetary policy. Economic agents rely on an adaptive learning technology to form expectations and to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298276
Does the general public know what central banks do? Is this kind of knowledge relevant? Using a survey of Dutch households, we investigate these questions for the case of the European Central Bank (ECB). Our findings suggest that knowledge on the ECB’s objectives is far from perfect. Both a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605311
We present estimates of the term structure of inflation expectations, derived from an affine model of real and nominal yield curves. The model features stochastic covariation of inflation with the real pricing kernel, enabling us to extract a time-varying inflation risk premium. We fit the model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010283537
When taken to examine disinflation monetary policies, the current workhorse DSGE model of business cycle fluctuations … downturn, disinflation entails non-zero overall welfare gains. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265222
In this paper we analyze disinflation policy when a central bank has imperfect information about private sector … inflation expectations but learns about them from economic outcomes, which are in part the result of the disinflation policy …. The form of uncertainty is manifested as uncertainty about the effect of past disinflation policy on current output gap …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265530
inflation and its target, and the gap between output and its potential. Under 'the opportunistic approach to disinflation' a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298307
We develop and estimate a general equilibrium model in which monetary policy can deviate from active in.ation stabilization and agents face uncertainty about the nature of these deviations. When observing a deviation, agents conduct Bayesian learning to infer its likely duration. Under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011460672