What is the relationship between economic growth and its volatility? Does political instability affect growth directly … or indirectly, through volatility? This paper tries to answer such questions using a power-ARCH framework with annual … legislative changes) has an indirect (through volatility) negative impact. We also find preliminary support for the idea that …

This paper studies the dynamics of volatility transmission between Central European currencies and euro/dollar foreign … exchange using model-free estimates of daily exchange rate volatility based on intraday data. We formulate a flexible yet … parsimonious parametric model in which the daily realized volatility of a given exchange rate depends both on its own lags as well …

particularly interested in volatility modelling and forecasting given their importance for FOREX dealers. Compared with previous …

We analyse the decline in output volatility in Germany. A lower level of variance in an autoregressive model of output … error term variance (reduced impulses). In Germany the decline output volatility is due to a decline in the persistence of … sudden break. The evolution of Germany's short-term real interest rate volatility coincides with the change of the …

of the put option, special attention is devoted to the estimation of the volatility for the underlying stock. We analyze … observed daily yields for four different timeframes to estimate the resulting volatility of the stock for Allianz SE using … most plausible estimates for this volatility lie between 20 % and 25 %, implying a mark-up on the fair value of the 'Easy …

the commodity futures price. The significance and form of volatility spill-over effects of a bilateral exchange rate are …

exist. Concerning the controversial issues we find that (i) volatility effects depend on the existence of tax havens and on …

period of 1994q3-2005q2. The results suggest that the real exchange rate volatility and misalignment have depressing effects … volatility proving that the policy-induced changes in exchange rate has a stabilizing effect on trade flows. The implied … elasticity for the most significant real exchange rate volatility coefficient is -0.20. Using a two-step Engle-Granger technique …

The volatility information content of stock options for individual firms is measured using option prices for 149 U ….S. firms and the S&P 100 index. ARCH and regression models are used to compare volatility forecasts defined by historical stock … returns, at-the-money implied volatilities and model-free volatility expectations for every firm. For one-day-ahead estimation …