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autoregressive model. In a high inflation regime the standard results from the literature obtain. In a low inflation regime output … shows no significant response to monetary policy while the inflation response is negative. The paper endogenously determines …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286403
We analyze empirical links between the perceived tail-risk of inflation, the policy rate, longer-term interest rates … economic outlook rather than with the response to an exogenous shock; (iv) the few notable instances of the latter response are … always in reaction to Fed announcements; and, (v) our impulse responses demonstrate that odds of extreme inflation outcomes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030329
In a simple New Keynesian model, we derive a closed form solution for the inflation-gap persistence parameter as a … to inflation and the output gap, we show that the empirically observed changes in U.S. inflation-gap persistence during … Benati’s (2008) view that inflation persistence should not be considered a structural parameter in the sense of Lucas. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422228
inflation and its target, and the gap between output and its potential. Under 'the opportunistic approach to disinflation' a … central bank controls inflation aggressively when inflation is far from its target, but concentrates more on output … stabilization when inflation is close to its target, allowing supply shocks and unforeseen fluctuations in aggregate demand to move …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298307
This paper studies optimal discretionary monetary policy in the presence of uncertainty about the degree of financial frictions. Changes in the degree of financial frictions are modelled as changes in parameters of a hybrid New-Keynesian model calibrated for the UK, following Bean, Larsen and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604685
stability. We model the default of a large bank and analyse the resulting contagion effects. This is compared to a common shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010269747
shock to demand, a negative supply shock and dislodged inflation expectations. We also illustrate the problems of a zero … combine an inflation target, Fisher equation, policy reaction function and short and long run aggregate supply analysis to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277864
The central bank's optimal reaction to foreign and domestic shocks is analyzed in an inflation targeting model allowing … that the interest rate response to foreign shocks is smaller when pass-through is low. Second, the inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281328
policy literature. The extent to which these firms adjust their prices to lagged inflation has been taken as fixed. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295244
We analyse the interaction between private agents? uncertainty about inflation target and the central bank's data … uncertainty. In our model, private agents update their perceived inflation target and the central bank estimates unobservable … economic shocks as well as the perceived inflation target. Under those two uncertainties, the learning process of both private …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295855