This paper examines the impact of the emergence of regional blocs (customs unions) on the patterns of inter-bloc and intra-bloc trade when firms have the option to engage in direct investment (FDI). The consequences of bloc formation for exogenously given external tariffs is examined first. When...

This paper studies the implications of various contracting alternatives between exporting and importing firms on the value of production and international transactions. Since contracts are usually determined when exchange rate is uncertain, we show that under some conditions renegotiating these...

Abstract: We study how fluctuations in money growth correlate with fluctuations in real and nominal output growth and inflation. We pick cycles from each time series that last 2 to 8 (business cycles) and 8 to 40 (longer-term cycles) years, using band-pass filters. We employ a data set from 1880...

There is scant empirical support in the literature for the Fisher effect in the long run, though it is often assumed in theoretical models. We argue that a break in the cointegrating relation introduces a spurious unit root that leads to a rejection of cointegration. We applied new break tests...

The Wald test for linear restrictions on cointegrating vectors is compared infinite samples using the Monte Carlo method. The Wald test within the vector error-correction based methods of Bewley et al (1994) and of Johansen (1991), the canonical cointegration method of Park (1992) the dynamic...