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We propose and apply a new approach for analyzing the effects of fiscal policy using vector autoregressions. Unlike most of the previous literature this approach does not require that the contemporaneous reaction of some variables to fiscal policy shocks be set to zero or need additional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263594
The empirical literature using vector autoregressive models to assess the effects of fiscal policy shocks strongly disagrees on even the qualitative response of key macroeconomic variables to government spending and tax shocks. We provide new evidence for the U.S. over the period 1955-2006. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604923
Die zentrale finanzpolitische Aufgabe der kommenden Jahre wird die Konsolidierung der öffentlichen Haushalte sein. Auch nach Bewältigung der Rezession werden weiterhin "strukturelle" Defizite in einer Größenordnung von drei bis vier Prozent des Bruttoinlandsprodukts bestehen bleiben....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010377910
In this paper, we present a disaggregated framework for the analysis of past and projected structural developments in the most relevant revenue and expenditure categories and the fiscal balance. The framework, in particular, distinguishes between the effects of discretionary fiscal policy and of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295793
Legislaturperiode ist die Finanzpolitik. Es wäre sehr gut wenn es gelänge, die Subventionen in dieser Zeit die Subventionen substanziell …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011733203
With the external accounts problems reasonably solved, Brazil’s economic policy agenda is bound to be increasingly focused on fiscal issues. What makes the design of economic policy especially complex in this area is the fact that there are several superimposed and potentially conflicting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011807338
Nach der Bundestagswahl schlägt die Stunde der finanzpolitischen Wahrheit. Wer auch immer die nächste Bundesregierung stellt: Der Kassensturz nach der Wahl wird zeigen, dass kaum noch finanzpolitischer Handlungsspielraum besteht. Die öffentlichen Haushalte haben sich im Zuge der Rezession...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011602056
This paper presents a systematic analysis of the availability and use of fiscal space in emerging and developing economies. These economies built fiscal space in the run-up to the Great Recession of 2008-09, which was then used for stimulus. This reflects a more general trend over the past three...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011696301
We apply non-linear error-correction models to the empirical testing of the sustainability of the government's intertemporal budget constraint. Our empirical analysis, based on Italy, shows that the Italian government is meeting its intertemporal budget constraint, in spite of the high levels of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010266076
This article investigates the effects of fiscal policy shock in the Brazilian economy using quarterly data during the …. We find that in response of an expansionary shock of public expenditures the private consumption increases surely. It can … shock of the public net revenues. But in long run the probability of this response to be positive rises strongly.With 76 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010330845