qualitative and quantitative information on subsequent inflation. The usefulness of monetary analysis is contrasted to weaknesses … in modeling monetary policy and inflation with respectively short-term interest rates and real activity measures. The … analysis sheds light on the recent change in inflation volatility and persistence as well as on the Phillips curve flattening …

policy. First, I consider whether ignoring money means returning to the conceptual framework that allowed the high inflation … of the 1970s. Second, I consider whether models of inflation determination with no role for money are incomplete, or … evidence for a long-run relationship between money growth and inflation. (Here I give particular attention to the implications …

After almost four decades of price stability, inflation has recently approached historical highs. Initially driven by … global energy and food price increases, the magnitude of the surge in inflation caught central banks and markets by surprise … monetary policy tightening, inflation upside risks are large. How can central banks restore control - and with it their own …

Recent literature has argued that exchange rate pass-through (ERPT) into domestic inflation has been declining in many … countries following a dramatic change in inflation environment during the 1990s. Available empirical results face two central … arbitrariness; and (ii) the link between a lower ERPT and inflation environment is usually based on simple correlation analysis and …

Whereas strong demand is a key factor driving high inflation in the US, inflation in the Euro Area is mainly due to … prevent second-round effects. Long run inflation expectations — as measured by the survey of professional forecasters — still … seem to be well anchored. The ECB's announced tightening intends to dampen rising household's inflation expectations. Given …

. We find that for all parametrizations with an equilibrium inflation rate of about 2 percent, there is a second … equilibrium with an inflation rate just above 10 percent. Thus, the model can simultaneously account for the low and high … inflation episodes in the United States. We carefully characterize the set of Markov equilibria along the parameter space and …

interpreted, first and foremost, as a commitment device. In our setting, a monetary target helps anchoring inflation and inflation … well as a strong response to deviations of inflation from target and to the activity growth gap. In contrast, the response …

regards the possibility of a time-varying mean of inflation. Moreover, we conduct a sensitivity analysis across different … of the Phillips curve occurring in the early to mid 1980s, but not in inflation persistence once the mean shift is … allowed for. As a result of the structural change, the Phillips curve became flatter around a lower mean of inflation. Second …

striking negative correlation between the evolution of the long-run coefficient on inflation in the monetary rule and the … evolution of the persistence and predictability of inflation relative to a trend component. Using a standard sticky-price model …, we show that a more aggressive policy stance towards inflation causes a decline in inflation predictability, providing a …