Bianchi, Francesco; Kung, Howard; Tirskikh, Mikhail - In: Quantitative Economics 14 (2023) 3, pp. 855-896
We estimate a production-based general equilibrium model featuring demand- and supply-side uncertainty and an endogenous term premium. Using term structure and macroeconomic data, we find sizable effects of uncertainty on risk premia and business cycle fluctuations. Both demand- and supply-side...