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Market Hypothesis sense. The paper tries to show that this so-called excess volatility is to a large extend the result of the …, constant dividend growth rates as well as non-variable discount rates. It is shown that indeed volatility declines considerably …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010269909
depict this fact. In this paper we incorporate excess volatility into a simple DCF model by considering an autoregressive … (respectively dividend-price ratio) is stochastic and our model represents excess volatility. We discuss whether our assumptions are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012230962
This paper explores the characteristics associated with the formation of bubbles that occurred in the Hong Kong stock market in 1997 and 2007, as well as the 2000 dot-com bubble of Nasdaq. It examines the profitability of Technical Analysis (TA) strategies generating buy and sell signals with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326340
The aim of this paper is to demonstrate how the change in actual and potential market risks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) during the two-year period 2007-2008 can be analyzed with the help of-analysis. In the empirical analysis, the average of the Lyapunov exponents for the dynamic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010321428
We combine the dynamic dividend-discount model with an accounting-based vector autoregression framework that allows for a decomposition of EU banks' stock returns to cash-flow and expected return news components. The main findings are that while the bulk of the variability of EU banks' stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604723
This paper proposes the use of the Cash Flow from Operations (CFO) obtained from Cash Flow Statement (CFS) as a factor with significant impact on the financial structure of the Spanish firms in a period (2008-2012) that was characterized by dificulties in business finance. In the previous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011787584
In this paper, we analyze the determinants of corporate saving in the form of changes in the stock of cash for 11 Asian economies using firm-level data from the Oriana Database for the 2002 - 2011 period. We find some evidence that cash flow has a positive impact on the change in the stock of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010332288
Many firms cite financial constraints as some of the most important impediments to their investment and growth. Using a unique data set from the Czech Republic this paper investigates the importance of financing constraints in the context of exporters. It finds that exporters are less...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010313397
This paper tests the balance sheet theory, where the status of balance sheets affects the economy's response to monetary and other shocks. The theory predicts a positive effect of cash flow on investment, given fundamental determinants of investment. I use an empirical method developed by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010320749
In this paper, we examine the evolution of the S&P500 returns volatility around market crashes using a Markov …-Switching model. We find that volatility typically switches into the high volatility state well before a crash and remains in the high … volatility by uniformed traders result in a crash. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294846