This paper investigates the predictability of exchange rate changes by extracting the factors from the three-, four-, and five-factor model of the relative Nelson-Siegel class. Our empirical analysis shows that the relative spread factors are important for predicting future exchange rate...

In this paper, we examined and compared the forecast performances of the dynamic Nelson-Siegel (DNS), dynamic Nelson-Siegel-Svensson (DNSS), and arbitrage-free Nelson-Siegel (AFNS) models after the financial crisis period. The best model for the forecast performance is the DNSS model in the...