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On February 12, 2010, SUERF, the Oesterreichische Nationalbank and the Bankwissenschaftliche Gesellschaft continued their established tradition of jointly organised conferences. As evidenced also by the 115 conference participants, this year's subject of "Contagion and Spillovers – New...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011689946
This paper shows estimates of the optimal level of foreign reserves for Brazil between the first quarter of 1998 and the same trimester of 2008, by applying the Jeanne e Ranciére (2006) framework, using different scenarios. We also estimate the fiscal costs of holding this asset, as well as the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010330830
This paper examines two competing approaches for calculating current account benchmarks, i.e. the external sustainability approach á la Lane and Milesi-Ferretti (LM) versus the structural current accounts literature (SCA) based on panel econometric techniques. The aim is to gauge the medium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605041
episode of international deleveraging world consumption demand is depressed and the world interest rate is low, reecting a … in the world interest rate are ampli_ed. Hence, monetary unions are especially prone to hit the zero lower bound on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013370099
In this paper we empirically explore the relationship between debt and output in a panel of 72 countries over the period 1970-2014 using a vector autoregression (VAR). We document two puzzling empirical findings that contrast with what is predicted by a standard small open economy model by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012653028
the presence of borrowing and lending constraints on that bond. In a US versus the rest of the world (RoW) scenario, we … consumption risk relative to the rest of the world, and therefore decreases its motives for precautionary asset holdings relative … to the rest of the world. As a result of these asymmetric shifts in countries' barriers to capital mobility, the US runs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322494
The pressures on fiscal consolidation have mounted dramatically in the wake of the Greek and then the 'contagion' crisis which followed it (across the so-called 'weakest links' Portugal, Spain, Italy, Ireland). It led to the setting-up of the 750 billion euro stabilisation package widely seen as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012100211
This paper investigates empirically the relationship between the pattern of fiscal policy and the demand for international reserves in developing countries, and how this relationship is associated with political risk and conditional access to global capital markets. It finds evidence that for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285350
In this paper we argue that supply-side adjustments (i.e. the reallocation of productive resources between the traded and non-traded sectors) can be an important determinant of the output costs of current account adjustment. The argument relies on the fact that tax evasion is more prevalent in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011307123
The paper discusses the trajectories of the Greek public deficit andsovereign debt between 1980 and 2010 and its connection to thepolitical and economic environment of the same period. We payspecial attention to the causality between the public and the externaldeficit in the period after 1995,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010520615