Showing 1 - 10 of 1,509
The unparalleled surge of the crude oil price after 2003 has triggered a heated scientific and public debate about its … reason among academics. We study the price dynamics after 2003 in the global crude oil market using a structural VAR model … needs have played an important role for the run-up in the price of crude oil after 2003. We additionally and that emerging …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011753232
This study attempts to examine the price discovery process and volatility spillovers in Gold futures and spot markets … effective price discovery vehicle. Besides the study results show that the spillovers of certain information take place from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011310237
growth rate and volatility of commodity spot prices. This view gained credence because in the 2000s trading volume increased … price behavior. Our data sheds light on the economic role of futures markets. The conventional view is that futures markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030340
both current and past market returns. Using various time-varying volatility models to accommodate conditional … causality-in-variance is used to analyse if volatility among small traders spills over into spot markets, it is found that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326188
is that the spot price process of electricity is still puzzling researchers and practitioners. In this paper, we propose … an approach to model spot prices that combines mean-reversion, spikes and stochastic volatility. Thereby we use different … correlation structures of electricity price spikes. Furthermore, all model parameters can easily be estimated with help of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010305714
the first and the second conditional moments. To reveal long run price discovery we compute the common factor weights …-BEKK model introduced by Engle and Kroner (1995) is employed to analyze the volatility transmission structure. We identify the … futures market to be the leader of the long run price discovery process whereas a bidirectional short run causality structure …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422201
We assess whether the euro had an impact first on the degree of integration of European financial markets, and, second, on the euro area term structure. We propose two methodologies to measure integration: one relies on time-varying GARCH correlations, and the other one on a regression...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604644
price indexes. Forecasts produced by each non-linear GARCH model and each index are evaluated using a common set of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011335762
describe the most typical features of capital markets like volatility clustering, excess kurtosis and fat tails. As empirical … evidence shows asymmetry is also a prominent feature of stock market returns volatility. The reaction of risk if stock returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270556
the commodity futures price. The significance and form of volatility spill-over effects of a bilateral exchange rate are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291928