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Under inflation targeting inflation exhibits negative serial correlation in the United Kingdom, and little or no persistence in Canada, Sweden and New Zealand, and estimates of the indexation parameter in hybrid New Keynesian Phillips curves are either equal to zero, or very low, in all...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604897
and multivariate Stochastic Volatility (SV) models for financial return series. EIS provides a highly generic and very …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010296235
In this paper, we review the most common specifications of discrete-time stochastic volatility (SV) models and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263750
capturing interest rate risk. The so-called Stochastic Volatility Nelson-Siegel (SVNS) model allows for stochastic volatility in … evidence for time-varying volatility in the yield factors. This is mostly true for the level and slope volatility revealing … also the highest persistence. It turns out that the inclusion of stochastic volatility improves the model's goodness …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270702
This paper describes a methodology to estimate the coefficients, to test specification hypotheses and to conduct policy exercises in multi-country VAR models with cross unit interdependencies, unit specific dynamics and time variations in the coefficients. The framework of analysis is Bayesian:...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604649
sharpens the picture of intra-day volatility accentuations: they are concentrated within the first two minutes after the open … Nasdaq's calls have reduced this volatility, reorganized order flow, and lowered volatility persistence. Opening and closing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010303693
The linear Gaussian state space model for which the common variance istreated as a stochastic time-varying variable is considered for themodelling of economic time series. The focus of this paper is on thesimultaneous estimation of parameters related to the stochasticprocesses of the mean part...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324992
The Heston model stands out from the class of stochastic volatility (SV) models mainly for two reasons. Firstly, the … process for the volatility is nonnegative and mean-reverting, which is what we observe in the markets. Secondly, there exists …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281507
dimensions: price, volatility and liquidity. By comparing the Garman-Klass volatilities of bitcoin spot and futures prices with … those of different assets, we find that both the bitcoin spot and futures markets exhibit relatively high volatility …This paper explores empirically the behavior of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) bitcoin futures contract. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014477255
Policy counterfactuals based on estimated structural VARs routinely suggest that bringing Alan Greenspan back in the 1970s’ United States would not have prevented the Great Inflation. We show that a standard policy counterfactual suggests that the Bundesbank–which is near-universally...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605180