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We propose the method of eigenvalue filtering as a new tool to extract time series subcomponents (such as business-cycle or irregular) defined by properties of the underlying eigenvalues. We logically extend the Beveridge-Nelson decomposition of the VAR time-series models focusing on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604595
I present empirical results on the contribution of three key drivers of inflation in Denmark: an inflation trend anchored by inflation expectations; the Danish business cycle; and an energy price cycle. All three drivers contribute significantly to the development of inflation and explain most of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014563915
During the last years, Mexico has registered relatively large output falls. The business cycle accounting method of … Chari, Kehoe and McGrattan (2007) is applied to the two most recent recessions in Mexico (including the 'Tequila crisis') in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010322576
, employment and GDP in both the US and Mexico. For the subsample preceding the break our findings are similar to those of earlier … parameters being higher than 1 in the case of Mexico. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264093
transitory components of TFP shocks and learn about those components using the Kalman filter. Calibrated to Mexico, the model …, our estimation for Mexico and Canada suggests more severe informational frictions in emerging markets than in developed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010273643
This paper establishes stylized facts about the cyclicality of real consumer wages and real producer wages in Germany. As detrending methods we apply the deterministic trend model, the Beveridge-Nelson decomposition, the Hodrick-Prescott filter, the Baxter-King filter and the structural time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010302616
This paper establishes stylized facts about the cyclicality of real consumer wages and real producer wages in Germany. As detrending methods we apply the deterministic trend model, the Beveridge-Nelson decomposition, the Hodrick-Prescott filter, the Baxter-King filter and the structural time...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274586
This article provides new insights into the cyclical behavior of consumer and producer real wages in the USA and Germany. We apply two methods for the estimation of the cyclical components from the data: the approach based on the structural time series models and the ARIMA-model-based approach...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010309235
We propose multivariate classification as a statistical tool to describe business cycles. These cycles are often analyzed as a univariate phenomenon in terms of GNP or industrial net production ignoring additional information in other economic variables. Multivariate classification overcomes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316572
We present a descriptive analysis of stylized facts for the German business cycle. We demonstrate that simple ad-hoc instructions for identifying univariate rules characterizing the German business cycle 1955-1994 lead to an error rate comparable to standard multivariate methods.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316674