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We use a newly available dataset of euro area quarterly national accounts fiscal data and construct multi-variate, state-space mixed-frequencies models for the government deficit, revenue and expenditure in order to assess its information content and its potential use for fiscal forecasting and...
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Public deficit figures are subject to revisions, as most macroeconomic aggregates are. Nevertheless, in the case of Europe, the latter could be particularly worrisome given the role of fiscal data in the functioning of EU’s multilateral surveillance rules. Adherence to such rules is judged...
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Der Beitrag beschäftigt sich mit der Genauigkeit der staatlichen Defizitquo-te im Sinne der Volkswirtschaftlichen Gesamtrechnungen vor dem Hinter-grund des Adäquationsproblems. Einzelne umstrittene Verbuchungsfragen, die mit der zeitlichen und sektoralen Zuordnung von Strömen verbunden sind,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010319317
This statistical paper describes and explains a specific tool enabling statisticians to gain additional insights and assess the consistency of government finance statistics (GFS): analysis of the deficit-debt adjustment (DDA), or stock-flow adjustment (SFA). The DDA reconciles two key government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011985260
To carry out the analysis required for monetary policy, the European Central Bank (ECB) and the European System of Central Banks (ESCB) need comprehensive and reliable government finance statistics. The focus of government finance statistics has traditionally been the government as a whole...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014327941
The Brussels Effect, once emblematic of the EU's alleged influence in shaping global regulations, has now become a factor contributing to global regulatory fragmentation. The EU must recalibrate its trajectory towards a liberal and rules-based trading order, prioritizing widespread regulatory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014560198
Die Weltwirtschaft expandiert derzeit in moderatem Tempo, wobei die Dynamik in den einzelnen Regionen recht unterschiedlich ist. Während die Konjunktur in den Vereinigten Staaten bis zuletzt kräftig war, befindet sich die Wirtschaft im Euroraum in einer Phase der Stagnation; im Vereinigten...
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