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We study the dynamics of a Lucas-tree model with finitely lived agents who "learn from experience." Individuals update expectations by Bayesian learning based on observations from their own lifetimes. In this model, the stock price exhibits stochastic boom-and-bust fluctuations around the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605442
kernel smoothing of the conditional mean function. An asymptotic theory for the resulting kernel estimator is developed and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422182
We present an empirical study focusing on the estimation of a fundamental multi-factor model for a universe of European …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010316262
Using life-history survey data from eleven European countries, we investigate whether childhood conditions, such as socioeconomic status, cognitive abilities and health problems influence portfolio choice and risk attitudes later in life. After controlling for the corresponding conditions in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010308548
This paper investigates whether the consumption-free two-beta intertemporal capital asset-pricing model developed by Campbell and Vuolteenaho (2004) is able to solve the risk premium puzzle in the Japanese stock market over the period 1984-2002. Using the cash flow and discount rate betas as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010332445
Because of the uncertainty about how to model the growth process of our economy, there is still much confusion about which discount rates should be used to evaluate actions having long-lasting impacts, as in the contexts of climate change, social security reforms or large public infrastructures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291529
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324093
Weather influences our daily lives and choices and has an enormous impact on cooperate revenues and earnings. Weather derivatives differ from most derivatives in that the underlying weather cannot be traded and their market is relatively illiquid. The weather derivative market is therefore...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274151
annual US stock price data from 1871 until 2003. The estimation results support the existence of two expectation regimes. One …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325397
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011390625