Showing 1 - 10 of 1,174
Using a new survey of firms' inflation expectations in France, we provide novel evidence about the measurement and … formation of inflation expectations on the part of firms. First, French firms report inflation expectations with a smaller, but … the wording of questions matters for the measurement of firms' inflation expectations. Third, we document whether and how …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013177710
Introducing a new survey of U.S. firms' inflation expectations, we document key stylized facts involving what U ….S. firms know and expect about inflation and monetary policy. The resulting time series of firms' inflation expectations … "anchored" expectations, the inflation expectations of U.S. managers appear far from anchored, much like those of households …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012597524
This paper investigates the expectations formation process of economic agents about inflation rate. Using the Market … Expectations System of Central Bank of Brazil, we perceive that agents do not update their forecasts every period and that even …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011858475
particular violation of the Full Information Rational Expectations hypothesis that requires explanation. In contrast, minor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012207913
We study how firms' expectations and actions are affected by both aggregate and industryspecific conditions using a … have no aggregate effects, firms' aggregate expectations respond persistently. This is consistent with "island" models in …. Finally, we extend the analysis to firms' expectations of their own future price changes and document how these respond to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012606356
Subjective expectations about future policy play an important role in individuals’ welfare. We examine how workers …’ expectations about pension reform vary with proximity to reforms, information cost, and aggregate information acquisition. We …-level representative survey data on expectations about future reforms and country-level data on online search. We find: (1) Expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012141052
Subjective expectations about future policy play an important role in individuals' welfare. We examine how workers …' expectations about pension reform vary with proximity to reforms, information cost, and aggregate information acquisition. We …-level representative survey data on expectations about future reforms and country-level data on online search. We find: (1) Expectations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012141240
We develop a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with rational inattention by households and firms. Consumption responds slowly to interest rate changes because households decide to pay little attention to the real interest rate. Prices respond quickly to some shocks and slowly to other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605377
This working paper comments on Monika Piazzesi and Martin Schneider's 'Bond Positions, Expectations, and the Yield …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292346
This paper implements a structural model of the yield curve with data on nominal positions and survey forecasts. Bond prices are characterized in terms of investors' current portfolio holdings as well as their subjective beliefs about future bond payoffs. Risk premia measured by an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292351