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Russia. The adopted framework allows to analyse interdependence by estimating volatility spillovers, and also contagion by … testing for possible shifts in the transmission of volatility following the introduction of the euro and EU accession. Further …. Furthermore, whilst the introduction of the euro has had mixed effects, EU accession has resulted in an increase in volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270472
, volatility, and cross-market GARCH-in-mean effects. Hypotheses about the importance of different channels are tested. The results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265964
, volatility, and cross-market GARCH-in-mean effects. Hypotheses about the importance of different channels are tested. The results …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271150
formulate and examine precise and separate measures of return spillovers and volatility spillovers. Our framework facilitates … evidence of divergent behavior in the dynamics of return spillovers vs. volatility spillovers: Return spillovers display a … gently increasing trend but no bursts, whereas volatility spillovers display no trend but clear bursts. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298351
This paper examines return predictability when the investor is uncertain about the right state variables. A novel feature of the model averaging approach used in this paper is to account for finite-sample bias of the coefficients in the predictive regressions. Drawing on an extensive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298059
The present study addresses the economic interpretation of stock market volatility. We argue that its character is … volatility. This exploits the revealed reaction of investors to gauge the degree of information and uncertainty ascribed to … volatility. We estimate simultaneous timevarying coefficient models, using data of US and further stock markets. We find the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010318768
)variances of the US Dow Jones and the German stock index DAX, we analyze intra-daily volatility spillovers between the US and …-synchronous and partially overlapping opening hours of the two markets. We find evidence of significant short-term volatility …-term volatility shocks is considerably higher and the spillovers effects between the US and the German stock markets are significantly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010308958
Information flows across international financial markets typically occur within hours, making volatility spillover … appear contemporaneous in daily data. Such simultaneous transmission of variances is featured by the stochastic volatility … solved by considering heteroscedasticity of the structural volatility innovations, and estimation takes place in an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263740
formulate and examine precise and separate measures of return spillovers and volatility spillovers. Our framework facilitates … evidence of divergent behavior in the dynamics of return spillovers vs. volatility spillovers: Return spillovers display a … gently increasing trend but no bursts, whereas volatility spillovers display no trend but clear bursts. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010303681
variable ordering, we propose measures of both total and directional volatility spillovers. We use our methods to characterize … daily volatility spillovers across U.S. stock, bond, foreign exchange and commodities markets, from January 1999 through … September 2009. We show that despite significant volatility fluctuations in all four markets during the sample, cross …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010277262