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of statistical indicators capable of tracking and, if possible, anticipating the cyclical features of the economy. The … aim of this paper is to build such an aggregate composite indicator for the Italian Economy, based on the ISAE surveys on … sectoral Composite Indicator (CI), a Composite Aggregate Indicator (CAI) for the Italian economy, and test its ability in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011291664
In this paper we propose a relatively simple procedure to predict Euro-zone industrial production using mostly data derived from the business surveys of the three major economies within the European Monetary Union (France, Germany, and Italy). The basic idea is that of estimating business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011291665
This paper examines whether data from business tendency surveys are useful for forecasting the macro economy (GDP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011291666
Since September 2004, Insee has published the results of its business survey in the services sector on a monthly basis together with a synthetic indicator. This indicator is extracted from both monthly and quarterly balances of opinion derived from the survey. The methodological framework is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011291667
Four years after the start of the Arab Spring uprisings, the macroeconomic situation in the EU’s Southern Neighbourhood remains weak and vulnerable and the recent intensification of civil strife and military conflicts is exacerbating this economic malaise. Macroeconomic performance may not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011298677
The global crisis has taken its toll on the EU’s prime position in international trade. While the EU still has the largest relative market shares, its position has deteriorated since the crisis, much more so than the US, and its comparative advantage in knowledge-intensive goods has been...
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