This paper uses data on German government bond futures options to examine the behaviour of market expectations around … monetary policy actions of the European Central Bank (ECB). In particular, this paper focuses on the asymmetries in bond market … expectations, as measured by the skewness of option-implied probability distributions of future bond yields. The results show that …

The aim of this paper is twofold. First, for West Germany, France, Italy and US, we econometrically select within a …

premia in bond prices. Moreover, the estimated premia vary over time in a quantitatively significant way, which implies that …

Member States are permanently excluded. However, there remains a risk that France and Germany will use the idea of a … whether the core is driven by France and Germany or led by a trilateral grouping including the UK. The future of core Europe … depends on Germany. The idea of a core Europe still has enormous appeal in Germany, given its long intellectual tradition and …