Showing 1 - 10 of 213
This paper examine differences between risk-neutral and objective probability densities of future interest rates. The identification and quantification of these differences are important when risk-neutral densities (RNDs), such as option-implied RNDs, are used as indicators of actual beliefs of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635905
Standard economic models hold that exchange rates are influenced by fundamental variables such as relative money supplies, outputs, inflation rates and interest rates. Nonetheless, it has been well documented that such variables little help predict changes in floating exchange rates u0097 that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635953
The paper proposes a multi-factor international asset pricing model in which the exchange rate is allowed to be co-determined by a risk factor imperfectly correlated to other priced risks in the economy. The significance of this factor can be established as long as one is able to observe a proxy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636537
economy VAR. Our results for Canada, Germany and UK indicate that the effects of exchange rate uncertainty are small …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636551
Member States are permanently excluded. However, there remains a risk that France and Germany will use the idea of a … whether the core is driven by France and Germany or led by a trilateral grouping including the UK. The future of core Europe … depends on Germany. The idea of a core Europe still has enormous appeal in Germany, given its long intellectual tradition and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636640
L’Allemagne, la Belgique, la Commission Européenne, la France, les Pays-Bas, le Royaume-Uni et la Suède se sont associés pour mener une évaluation conjointe de leur coopération avec le Burundi sur la période 2005-2011. L’évaluation conjointe analyse les résultats d'efforts conjugués...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011799349
This paper presents evidence for structural differences in economic growth dynamics between the current EU and the central- and eastern European accession countries. Two important results emerge from the analysis. First, accession countries have posted higher average growth and wider output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635910
In this note we demonstrate that in affine models for bilateral exchange rates, the nature of return interdependence during crises depends on the tail properties of the fundamentals' distributions. We denote crisis linkages as either strong or weak, in the sense that the dependence remains or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636547
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011989614
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011989615