Two seemingly unconnected empirical results suggest an intriguing mechanism. First, economic integration helps harmonize prices internationally, with trade being the primary channel (Rogoff 1996, Goldberg and Knetter 1997). Second, monetary union may greatly increase the amount of trade among...

This paper investigates the pass-through of external shocks, i.e. oil price shocks, exchange rate shocks, and non-oil import price shocks to euro area inflation at different stages of distribution (import prices, producer prices and consumer prices). The analysis is based on a VAR model that...

This paper uses the co-incidence of extreme shocks to banksu0092 risk to examine within country and across country contagion among large EU banks. Banksu0092 risk is measured by the first difference of weekly distances to default and abnormal returns. Using Monte Carlo simulations, the paper...

We use a Vector Auto Regression (VAR) analysis to explore the (spill-over) effects of fiscal policy shocks in Europe. To enhance comparability with the existing literature, we first analyse the effects of these shocks at the national level. Here, we employ identification based on Choleski...

Enlargement will provide major impulses for economic integration and new possibilities for the division of labour in the enlarged EU will offer additional opportunities for growth. At the same time, ensuring a more or less uniform regulatory framework in a single market comprising 25 or more...

On 1 May 2004, ten countries became members of the European Union. The addition of Cyprus, the Czech and Slovak Republics, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta, Poland and Slovenia brings the total number of Member States to 25. Although the EU has successfully integrated new countries on...

The paper studies the incentives to join a monetary union, and the incentives to reform within a monetary union and within the candidate countries, respectively. It presents some "orders of magnitude" evidence on the size and balance of the incentive effects for joining and being a member, and...

The paper concludes that accession to the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) is firmly in the interest of the central and eastern European countries. However, from the perspective of incumbent EMU membersu0092 interests, one cannot avoid the conclusion that the arguments are more finely balanced....