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Non-fundamental exchange rate volatility and welfare
Straub, Roland; Tchakarov, Ivan - 2004
We lay out an empirical and a theoretical model to analyze the effects of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility on … of the conditional exogenous exchange rate volatility on the conditional mean of the endogenous variables in our open … empirically. In the second part, we investigate the effect of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility in a stochastic open …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636551
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Exchange rates and fundamentals
Engel, Charles; West, Kenneth David - 2003
Standard economic models hold that exchange rates are influenced by fundamental variables such as relative money supplies, outputs, inflation rates and interest rates. Nonetheless, it has been well documented that such variables little help predict changes in floating exchange rates u0097 that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635953
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Volatility of interest rates in the euro area
Cassola, Nuno; Morana, Claudio - 2003
This paper estimates the factors underlying the volatility of the euro overnight interest rate and its transmission …'s operational framework for monetary policy implementation. Strong persistence is detected in all log-volatility processes and and …. the second factor explains the transmission of volatility along the money market yield curve. We find evidence that most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635972
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Monetary and fiscal interactions in open economies
Lombardo, Giovanni; Sutherland, Alan - 2003
A two-country sticky-price model is used to analyse the interactions between fiscal and monetary policy. The role of an u0091activistu0092 fiscal policy as a stabilisation tool is considered and a measure of the welfare gains from international fiscal policy cooperation is derived. It is found...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635884
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Maintaining price stability under free-floating
Detken, Carsten; Gaspar, Vítor - 2003
The behaviour of the exchange rate under a floating exchange rate regime for a small open economy with perfect capital mobility may appear like a managed float or even a firmer peg. We present a canonical new neo-classical synthesis open economy model where the central bank follows a strategy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635960
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Measuring contagion with a Bayesian, time-varying coefficient model
Ciccarelli, Matteo; Rebucci, Alessandro - 2003
To measure contagion empirically, we propose using a Bayesian time-varying coefficient model estimated with Markov ChainMonte Carlo methods. The proposed measure works in the joint presence of heteroskedasticity and omitted variables and does not require knowledge of the timing of the crisis. It...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635914
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Measurement of contagion in banks' equity prices
Gropp, Reint; Moerman, Gerard - 2003
This paper uses the co-incidence of extreme shocks to banksu0092 risk to examine within country and across country contagion among large EU banks. Banksu0092 risk is measured by the first difference of weekly distances to default and abnormal returns. Using Monte Carlo simulations, the paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636520
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Inflation and relative price asymmetry
Ratfai, Attila - 2004
. Robustly to alternative definitions of the relative price, identification schemes dictated by two-sided (S,s) pricing theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636524
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Equilibrium unemployment, job flows and inflation dynamics
Trigari, Antonella - 2004
general equilibrium model that integrates a theory of equilibrium unemployment into a monetary model with nominal price … worker, job creation and job destruction conditional on a shock to monetary policy. Moreover, allowing for variation of the … helps to explain the sluggishness of inflation and the persistence of output after a monetary policy shock. The ability of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636527
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Monetary policy shocks in the euro area and global liquidity spillovers
Sousa, João; Zaghini, Andrea - 2004
including a global liquidity aggregate. The impulse responses obtained show that a positive shock to extra-euro area liquidity … money ("global liquidity") on the euro area. We estimate structural VAR models for the euro area and the global economy … temporary appreciation of the real effective exchange rate of the euro. Moreover, we find that innovations in global liquidity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636532