This paper analyses the information content of M1 for euro area real GDP since the beginning of the 1980s and reviews theoretical arguments on why real narrow money should help predict real GDP. We find that, unlike in the U.S., in the euro area, M1 has better and more robust forecasting...

The overall objective of the present study is to improve the quality the EC and other donors’ media support by providing an analyses of the EC ́s assistance so far and recommendations on future strategies and modalities. This present report focuses on the activities so far, while a separate...