Showing 1 - 10 of 158
This paper examines the feasibility of implementing Linear Quadratic Gaussian (LQG) Control in structural cointegrated VAR models and sheds some light on the two major problems generated by such implementation. The first aspect to be taken into account is the effect of the presence of unit roots...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635883
handling of cointegration restrictions. This paper extends the Bayesian analysis of structural VARs to cover cointegrated … processes with an arbitrary number of cointegrating relations and general linear restrictions on the cointegration space. A …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636519
In the paper we propose a new methodological approach to core in- flation estimation, based on a frequency domain …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636528
Equilibrium correction models of the price level are often used to model inflation. Such models assume that the long-run markup of prices over costs is fixed, but this may not be true for the Euro area economy, which has undergone major structural reforms over the last 25 years. We allow for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636529
Standard economic models hold that exchange rates are influenced by fundamental variables such as relative money supplies, outputs, inflation rates and interest rates. Nonetheless, it has been well documented that such variables little help predict changes in floating exchange rates u0097 that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635953
The paper proposes a multi-factor international asset pricing model in which the exchange rate is allowed to be co-determined by a risk factor imperfectly correlated to other priced risks in the economy. The significance of this factor can be established as long as one is able to observe a proxy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636537
We lay out an empirical and a theoretical model to analyze the effects of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility on economic activity and welfare. In the first part of the paper, the GARCH-SVARmodel is applied to measure empirically the effect of the conditional exogenous exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636551
Existing methods for data interpolation or backdating are either univariate or based on a very limited number of series, due to data and computing constraints that were binding until the recent past. Nowadays large datasets are readily available, and models with hundreds of parameters are fastly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635924
introduce a new frequency domain principal components estimator of the cointegration space and the factor loading matrix for the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636544
Existing methods for data interpolation or backdating are either univariate or based on a very limited number of series, due to data and computing constraints that were binding until the recent past. Nowadays large datasets are readily available, and models with hundreds of parameters are fastly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009640916