business surveys data and to aggregate the nation-wide forecast into the Euro-zone forecast, we propose using an approach based …In this paper we propose a relatively simple procedure to predict Euro-zone industrial production using mostly data … derived from the business surveys of the three major economies within the European Monetary Union (France, Germany, and Italy …

Monitoring and forecasting price developments in the euro area is essential in the light of the second pillar of the … ECBu0092s monetary policy strategy. This study analyses whether the forecasting accuracy of forecasting aggregate euro area … series models and distinguishes between different forecast horizons, HICP components and inflation measures. Various …

that the cyclical position and the form of fiscal governance are major determinants of forecast biases. Projected changes …

growth. The ICM is estimated on data for the Euro area and evaluated against existing models, i.e. the implicit inflation … encompasses a general unrestricted model and it forecast encompasses the competitors when tested on 20 quarters of one step ahead …

, including within the context of joint programming between the EU, France, Germany and Spain. The scope of the study covers all …