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With the development towards comprehensive and more sophisticated border control regimes, the problem of protection seekers’ access to EU territory has increasingly come into focus. Disorderly movement is presently the main avenue to safety in the EU, and human smugglers act as important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011799462
The aim of this paper is twofold. First, for West Germany, France, Italy and US, we econometrically select within a … France, the strongest ex0Bect on output is produced by shocks on government expenditure on wages and transfers. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635887
There has been much discussion of the differences in macroeconomic performance and prospects between the US, Japan and …, Japan and the euro area appear quite distinct. Documenting and comparing such international business-cycle features can aid …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635889
This paper offers an alternative explanation for the behavior of postwar US inflation by measuring a novel source of … end up generating a systematic inflation bias through the private sector expectations of a larger policy response in … recessions than in booms. Reduced-form estimates of US monetary policy rules indicate that while the inflation target declines …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635891
Member States are permanently excluded. However, there remains a risk that France and Germany will use the idea of a … whether the core is driven by France and Germany or led by a trilateral grouping including the UK. The future of core Europe …. It was easy in the 1950s for France and Germany to dominate a small group of wealthy countries; but an extremely diverse …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636640
L’Allemagne, la Belgique, la Commission Européenne, la France, les Pays-Bas, le Royaume-Uni et la Suède se sont …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011799349
A number of authors have attemted to test whether the U.S. economy is in a determinate or an indeterminate equilibrium. We argue that to answer this question, one must be impose a priori restrictions on lag length that cannot be tested. We provide examples of two economic models. Model 1...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635896
This paper analyses the information content of M1 for euro area real GDP since the beginning of the 1980s and reviews theoretical arguments on why real narrow money should help predict real GDP. We find that, unlike in the U.S., in the euro area, M1 has better and more robust forecasting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635922
, including within the context of joint programming between the EU, France, Germany and Spain. The scope of the study covers all …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012036340
derived from the business surveys of the three major economies within the European Monetary Union (France, Germany, and Italy … in France and Germany; as far as Italy is concerned, forecasts are produced using a model that in the recent past proved …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011291665