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Inflation expectations constitute a subject of particular contemporary interest to central banks, especially those … pursuing a monetary policy based on a strategy of direct inflation targeting. Macroeconomic theory indicates that the … to properties of inflation expectations. Qualitative data on inflation expectations, as obtained from surveys, can be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635882
Price level targeting has been proposed as an alternative to inflation targeting that may confer benefits if a central … bank sets policy under discretion, even if societyu0092s loss function is specified in terms of inflation (instead of price …-of-thumb to form inflation expectations, or does not fully understand the nature of the target, price level targeting may in fact …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635890
This paper offers an alternative explanation for the behavior of postwar US inflation by measuring a novel source of … end up generating a systematic inflation bias through the private sector expectations of a larger policy response in … recessions than in booms. Reduced-form estimates of US monetary policy rules indicate that while the inflation target declines …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635891
The presence of a lower bound of zero on nominal interest rates has important implications for the conduct of optimal monetary policy. Standard rational expectations models can have alternative steady states as well as non-unique laws of motion, i.e. there can be possible sunspot equilibria....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635903
help anchoring inflation expectations. We use survey data on long-term inflation expectations in 15 industrial countries … since the early nineties to investigate how well anchored are inflation expectations. We find that in all countries except … Japan long-term inflation expectations are well anchored and, generally, increasingly so over the past decade. When …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635904
target inflation rates as low as 2 percent. However, the effects of the constraint are non-linear with respect to the inflation … percent. The variability of output increases significantly and that of inflation also rises somewhat. Also, we show that the … increasingly short of potential with lower inflation targets. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635983
In order to explain the joint fluctuations of output, inflation and the labor market, this paper first develops a … helps to explain the sluggishness of inflation and the persistence of output after a monetary policy shock. The ability of … the model to account for the joint dynamics of output and inflation rely on its ability to explain the dynamics in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636527
principal components estimator, suited to estimate systems of fractionally cointegrated processes. The proposed core inflation … measure is the scaled common persistent factor in inflation and excess nominal money growth and bears the interpretation of … monetary inflation. The proposed measure is characterised by all the properties that an u0093idealu0094 core inflation process …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636528
loans, credit and credit cards) and four countries (France, Italy, Poland and the UK). Results were extrapolated to the EU28 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011998851
. Following a sample approach this evaluation has its geographical focus on four new member states (Estonia, Poland, Hungary and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012036378