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Interpreting implied risk-neutral densities

Hördahl, Peter; Vestin, David - 2003

This paper examine differences between risk-neutral and objective probability densities of future interest rates. The identification and quantification of these differences are important when risk-neutral densities (RNDs), such as option-implied RNDs, are used as indicators of actual beliefs of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635905

Non-fundamental exchange rate volatility and welfare

Straub, Roland; Tchakarov, Ivan - 2004

We lay out an empirical and a theoretical model to analyze the effects of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility on … of the conditional exogenous exchange rate volatility on the conditional mean of the endogenous variables in our open … empirically. In the second part, we investigate the effect of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility in a stochastic open …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636551

Volatility of interest rates in the euro area

Cassola, Nuno; Morana, Claudio - 2003

This paper estimates the factors underlying the volatility of the euro overnight interest rate and its transmission …'s operational framework for monetary policy implementation. Strong persistence is detected in all log-volatility processes and and …. the second factor explains the transmission of volatility along the money market yield curve. We find evidence that most …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635972

Fiscal policy and inflation volatility

Rother, Philipp C. - 2004

Among the harmful effects of inflation, the negative consequences of inflation volatility are of particular concern … inflation volatility. Major results are robust for unconditional and conditional inflation volatility, the latter derived from …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636540

Information acquisition and decision making in committees

Gerling, Kerstin; Grüner, Hans Peter; Kiel, Alexandra; … - 2003

This is a survey on the recent game theoretic literature on committee decision making. We consider theoretical work on the role of (i) strategic voting, (ii) costly information acquisition, (iii) conflicting interests, and (iv) communication in committees. Moreover, we review recent experimental...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635876

Government deficits, wealth effects and the price level in an optimizing model

Annicchiarico, Barbara - 2003

This paper investigates the in inflationary effects of fscal policy in an optimizing general equilibrium monetary model with capital accumulation, exible prices and wealth effects. The model is calibrated to Euro Area quarterly data. Simulation results show that government defcits, high debt...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635879

Implementing optimal control in cointegrated I(1) structural VAR models

Monti, Francesca V. - 2003

This paper examines the feasibility of implementing Linear Quadratic Gaussian (LQG) Control in structural cointegrated VAR models and sheds some light on the two major problems generated by such implementation. The first aspect to be taken into account is the effect of the presence of unit roots...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635883

Monetary and fiscal interactions in open economies

Lombardo, Giovanni; Sutherland, Alan - 2003

A two-country sticky-price model is used to analyse the interactions between fiscal and monetary policy. The role of an u0091activistu0092 fiscal policy as a stabilisation tool is considered and a measure of the welfare gains from international fiscal policy cooperation is derived. It is found...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635884

Inflation persistence and robust monetary policy design

Coenen, Günter - 2003

This paper investigates the performance of optimised interest rate rules when there is uncertainty about a key determinant of the monetary transmission mechanism, namely the degree of persistence characterising the inﬂation process. The paper focuses on the euro area and utilises two variants of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635885

Inflation, factor substitution and growth

Klump, Rainer - 2003

already under relatively modest rates. Most contributions to monetary growth theory, however, have difficulties in explaining …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635886