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autarchic (i.e. fundamental) FX returns. The model is calibrated and tested on the Czech koruna/euro exchange rate in a setting … with seven Czech and euro area asset returns. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636537
Standard economic models hold that exchange rates are influenced by fundamental variables such as relative money supplies, outputs, inflation rates and interest rates. Nonetheless, it has been well documented that such variables little help predict changes in floating exchange rates u0097 that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635953
We lay out an empirical and a theoretical model to analyze the effects of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility on economic activity and welfare. In the first part of the paper, the GARCH-SVARmodel is applied to measure empirically the effect of the conditional exogenous exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636551
have posted higher average growth and wider output fluctuations than the euro area and other EU countries. Second, a set of … different methodologies suggests that business cycles of accession countries have been less synchronised with the euro area than … than the euro area "peripherals" (Greece, Portugal and Ireland). Moreover, synchrony differed across countries. Some …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635910
In this note we demonstrate that in affine models for bilateral exchange rates, the nature of return interdependence during crises depends on the tail properties of the fundamentals' distributions. We denote crisis linkages as either strong or weak, in the sense that the dependence remains or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636547
Within a two-step GARCH framework we explore the linkages between equity returns of ten sectors in the euro area, the … process towards higher integration has been primarily a phenomenon of equity markets in the euro area and the United States. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635881
We examine the euro area monetary policy transmission process using post-1999 data, with two main questions in mind …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635961
Four years after the introduction of the euro, this paper provides an overview of the current structure and integration … of the euro area financial systems and related policy initiatives. We first compare the euro area financial structure … with that of the United States and Japan. Using new and comprehensive financial account data, we also describe how the euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635984
edition of the publication u0093Bond markets and long-term interest rates in non-euro area Member States of the European Union … this third edition has been extended to include all thirteen non-euro area EU member states and two accession countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636827
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009637600