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Forecasting real GDP
Brand, Claus; Reimers, Hans-Eggert; Seitz, Franz - 2003
This paper analyses the information content of M1 for euro area real GDP since the beginning of the 1980s and reviews theoretical arguments on why real narrow money should help predict real GDP. We find that, unlike in the U.S., in the euro area, M1 has better and more robust forecasting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635922
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Further study on the affordability of alcoholic beverages in the EU ; A focus on excise duty pass-through, on- and off-trade sales, price promotions and pricing regulations LILA
Rabinovich, Lila (contributor); Hunt, Priscillia (contributor) - Directorate General for Health & Consumers; RAND Europe - 2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009641224
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The affordability of alcoholic beverages in the European Union ; Understanding the link between alcohol affordability, consumption and harms ; Technical report
Rabinovich, Lila (contributor);  … - Directorate General for Health & Consumers; RAND Europe - 2009
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009641225
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Study on price transmission in the sugar sector
Maurizio Aragrande; Enrica Gentile; Mauro Bruni - Areté srl - 2012
assess the influence of the 2006 reform of the EU sugar regime on price transmission in the sugar sector. The investigations … to be carried out had to focus on the different types of transmission of price changes, studying the reasons for any … uneven or asymmetric price transmission between sugar producers and final consumers, and taking into account the intermediate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011439219
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Country and sector-specific spillover effects in the euro area, the United States and Japan
Kaltenhaeuser, Bernd - 2003
increased considerably. More precisely, price innovations in European equities (both aggregate returns and sector returns) have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635881
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Identifying fiscal shocks and policy regimes in OECD countries
Arcangelis, Giuseppe de; Lamartina, Serena - 2003
The aim of this paper is twofold. First, for West Germany, France, Italy and US, we econometrically select within a SVAR model some fiscal policy regimes, i.e. a u0094set of rulesu0094 for the implementation of fiscal policies. Second, we identify the fiscal policy shocks related to different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635887
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US, Japan and the euro area
McAdam, Peter - 2003
There has been much discussion of the differences in macroeconomic performance and prospects between the US, Japan and the euro area. Using Markov-switching techniques, in this paper we identify and compare specifically their major business-cycle features and examine the case for a common...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635889
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Measuring the time-inconsistency of US monetary policy
Surico, Paolo - 2003
This paper offers an alternative explanation for the behavior of postwar US inflation by measuring a novel source of monetary policy time-inconsistency due to Cukierman (2002). In the presence of asymmetric preferences, the monetary authorities end up generating a systematic inflation bias...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635891
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Identifying the monetary transmission mechanism using structural breaks
Beyer, Andreas; Farmer, Roger E. A. - 2003
the recoverable structure. As an application of our method we estimate the parameters of a model of the USA monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635894
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On the indeterminacy of determinacy and indeterminacy
Beyer, Andreas; Farmer, Roger E. A. - 2003
A number of authors have attemted to test whether the U.S. economy is in a determinate or an indeterminate equilibrium. We argue that to answer this question, one must be impose a priori restrictions on lag length that cannot be tested. We provide examples of two economic models. Model 1...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635896