Narrow search
Showing 1 - 10 of 82
Cover Image
Volatility of interest rates in the euro area
Cassola, Nuno; Morana, Claudio - 2003
This paper estimates the factors underlying the volatility of the euro overnight interest rate and its transmission …'s operational framework for monetary policy implementation. Strong persistence is detected in all log-volatility processes and and …. the second factor explains the transmission of volatility along the money market yield curve. We find evidence that most …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635972
Cover Image
Fiscal policy and inflation volatility
Rother, Philipp C. - 2004
Among the harmful effects of inflation, the negative consequences of inflation volatility are of particular concern … inflation volatility. Major results are robust for unconditional and conditional inflation volatility, the latter derived from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636540
Cover Image
Non-fundamental exchange rate volatility and welfare
Straub, Roland; Tchakarov, Ivan - 2004
We lay out an empirical and a theoretical model to analyze the effects of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility on … of the conditional exogenous exchange rate volatility on the conditional mean of the endogenous variables in our open … empirically. In the second part, we investigate the effect of non-fundamental exchange rate volatility in a stochastic open …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636551
Cover Image
US, Japan and the euro area
McAdam, Peter - 2003
There has been much discussion of the differences in macroeconomic performance and prospects between the US, Japan and the euro area. Using Markov-switching techniques, in this paper we identify and compare specifically their major business-cycle features and examine the case for a common...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635889
Cover Image
On the indeterminacy of determinacy and indeterminacy
Beyer, Andreas; Farmer, Roger E. A. - 2003
A number of authors have attemted to test whether the U.S. economy is in a determinate or an indeterminate equilibrium. We argue that to answer this question, one must be impose a priori restrictions on lag length that cannot be tested. We provide examples of two economic models. Model 1...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635896
Cover Image
Forecasting real GDP
Brand, Claus; Reimers, Hans-Eggert; Seitz, Franz - 2003
This paper analyses the information content of M1 for euro area real GDP since the beginning of the 1980s and reviews theoretical arguments on why real narrow money should help predict real GDP. We find that, unlike in the U.S., in the euro area, M1 has better and more robust forecasting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009635922
Cover Image
Equilibrium unemployment, job flows and inflation dynamics
Trigari, Antonella - 2004
In order to explain the joint fluctuations of output, inflation and the labor market, this paper first develops a general equilibrium model that integrates a theory of equilibrium unemployment into a monetary model with nominal price rigidities. Then, it estimates a set of structural parameters...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636527
Cover Image
The Great Depression and the Friedman-Schwartz hypothesis
Christiano, Lawrence; Motto, Roberto; Rostagno, Massimo - 2004
We evaluate the Friedman-Schwartz hypothesis that a more accommodative monetary policy could have greatly reduced the severity of the Great Depression. To do this, we first estimate a dynamic, general equilibrium model using data from the 1920s and 1930s. Although the model includes eight...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009636549
Cover Image
Public investment, transport infrastructure and growth in Poland
Rutkowski, Aleksander - 2009
This Country Focus discusses the relation between public investment and economic growth in Poland. Theoretical and empirical work has shown that improvements in the quantity and quality of public infrastructure have a positive impact on growth in the medium and, possibly, in the long run. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009641072
Cover Image
Upswing in Germany: how long will it last?
Jansen, Heinz; Stierle, Michael H. - 2007
Following several years of low growth Germany is presently enjoying a relatively strong recovery. With unemployment falling at record speed and fiscal consolidation progressing, the upswing is set to continue in spite of uncertainties surrounding the VAT increase of January 2007. This Country...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009641144